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In prospect theory, loss aversion refers to the tendency for people to
strongly prefer avoiding losses than acquiring gains. Some studies suggest
that losses are as much as twice as psychologically powerful than gains.
Loss aversion was first convincingly demonstrated by Amos Tversky and
Daniel Kahneman.
This leads to risk aversion when people evaluate a possible gain; since
people prefer avoiding losses to making gains. This explains the curvilinear
shape of the prospect theory utility graph in the positive domain. Conversely
people strongly prefer risks that might possibly mitigate a loss (called
risk seeking behavior).
Loss aversion may also explain sunk cost effects.
Note that whether a transaction is framed as a loss or as a gain is very
important to this calculation: would you rather get a 5% discount, or
avoid a 5% surcharge? The same change in price framed differently has
a significant effect on consumer behavior. Though traditional economists
consider this "endowment effect" and all other effects of loss
aversion to be completely irrational, that is why it is so important to
the fields of marketing and behavioral finance.
Can loss aversion ever be rational?
There is an important critique of the view held by economists that this
behaviour is irrational. The implicit assumption of conventional economics
is that the only relevant metric is the magnitude of the absolute change
in expenditure. In the above example, saving 5% is considered equivalent
to avoiding paying 5% extra. This is not the only rational interpretation.
Another view is that the most important metric is the magnitude of the
relative change in wealth of the decision-maker. Again, referring to the
above example, a 5% discount is then not equivalent to avoiding a 5% surcharge.
The reasoning is as follows.
Take a hypothetical item with a base cost of $1000, and consider two
possible scenarios:
In the first scenario, the buyer expects to pay $1000, but then is offered
a 5% discount. The price is then $950. The change represents a 5% saving.
In the second scenaro, there is a surcharge of 5%, or $50. The buyer expects
to pay $1050. Avoiding the surcharge would mean a price of $1000. The
buyers sees this as a savings of $50 on what they expected to pay: $1050.
Thus, the perceived savings is 50/1050 x 100% = approx. 4.76%.
When the savings relative to the remaining wealth (or stock of money)
is different, the value of the transaction changes accordingly. When using
this interpretation, decisions made by consumers are not necessarily irrational.
Taking this to an extreme, if I have only $1000, getting $1000 only doubles
my wealth (which would be nice), but losing $1000 will wipe me out completely
(which might be a matter of life and death). Clearly, in this case, if
I need money for food and shelter in order to live, I will be far more
motivated to avoid losing $1000 than to try to gain $1000.
In addition, it has been asserted that the effect of relative evaluation
is more pronounced the greater the potential amount saved is relative
to the total amount the decision-maker has to spend.
All of the above effects can be expressed in terms of the utility function
of money, and, in particular, not regarding money as a linear measure
of utility.
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