Decision Making » Cognitive and Personal Biases
Cognitive and personal biases in decision making
It is generally agreed that biases can creep into our decision
making processes, calling into question the correctness of a decision.
Below is a list of some of the more common cognitive biases.
- Selective search for evidence - We tend to be willing to gather
facts that support certain conclusions but disregard other facts
that support different conclusions.
- Premature termination of search for evidence - We tend to accept
the first alternative that looks like it might work.
- Conservatism and inertia - Unwillingness to change thought patterns
that we have used in the past in the face of new circumstances.
(See tradition.)
- Experiential limitations - Unwillingness or inability to look
beyond the scope of our past experiences; rejection of the unfamiliar.
- Selective perception - We actively screen-out information that
we do not think is salient. (See prejudice.)
- Wishful thinking or optimism - We tend to want to see things
in a positive light and this can distort our perception and thinking.
- Recency - We tend to place more attention on more recent information
and either ignore or forget more distant information. (See semantic
priming.)
- Repetition bias - A willingness to believe what we have been
told most often and by the greatest number of different of sources.
- Anchoring and adjustment - Decisions are unduly influenced by
initial information that shapes our view of subsequent information.
- Group think - Peer pressure to conform to the opinions held
by the group.
- Source credibility bias - We reject something if we have a bias
against the person, organization, or group to which the person
belongs: We are inclined to accept a statement by someone we like.
- Incremental decision making and escalating commitment - We
look at a decision as a small step in a process and this tends
to perpetuate a series of similar decisions. This can be contrasted
with zero-based decision making.
- Inconsistency - The unwillingness to apply the same decision
criteria in similar situations.
- Attribution asymmetry - We tend to attribute our success to
our abilities and talents, but we attribute our failures to bad
luck and external factors. We attribute other's success to good
luck, and their failures to their mistakes.
- Role fulfillment - We conform to the decision making expectations
that others have of someone in our position.
- Underestimating uncertainty and the illusion of control - We
tend to underestimate future uncertainty because we tend to believe
we have more control over events than we really do. We believe
we have control to minimize potential problems in our decisions.
- Faulty generalizations - In order to simplify an extremely complex
world, we tend to group things and people. These simplifying generalizations
can bias decision making processes.
- Ascription of causality - We tend to ascribe causation even
when the evidence only suggests correlation. Just because birds
fly to the equatorial regions when the trees lose their leaves,
does not mean that the birds migrate because the trees lose their
leaves.
For an explanation of the logical processes behind some of these
biases, see logical fallacy.
Cognitive neuroscience of decision making
The anterior cingulate cortex and orbitofrontal cortex are brain
regions involved in decision making processes. A recent neuroimaging
study, Interactions between decision making and performance monitoring
within prefrontal cortex, found distinctive patterns of neural activation
in these regions depending on whether decisions were made on the
basis of personal volition or following directions from someone
else.
|